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Metaforecasting
As Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner observed in their 2015 bestseller:
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Often forecasts are made and then … nothing. Accuracy is seldom determined after the fact and is almost never done with sufficient regularity and rigor that conclusions can be drawn.
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Building on our study with the Resolution Foundation, we're addressing this challenge head-on. Aggregating and evaluating diverse forecasts, some highly influential, we're building a truly unique evidence base for futures thinking of every kind.
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Click here for our innovative study of Unilever's vision of the future world.
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